There are few more dramatic backdrops than the White Cliffs of Dover. They have become the visual shorthand for Britain’s immigration debate. Standing there this morning, the Prime Minister promised to take stopping the boats seriously, because he understood that the public took it seriously too. There’s a case for saying that Shadow Home Secretary,…
Definitely better at Tik-Tok, not sure about “governmenting.” Every new Prime Minister inherits two jobs. One is to govern. The other is to convince the country that governing has already begun. Andy Burnham’s first week suggests that modern politics has become better at announcements, but worse at delivery. Following Andy Burnham’s coronation as King of…
When Hope Meets Government. Politics increasingly rewards reassurance before reassurance has been earned. Every incoming leader needs to offer hope, but optimism eventually has to meet reality. Burnham’s imminent arrival in Downing Street and Trump’s handling of Iran illustrate two thankfully very different implementations of this wider phenomenon. The Reassurance of the New It is…
The Commons said farewell to Sir Keir at PMQs, but the Chamber had been dominated over the previous week by the completion of the “Hillsborough Law”, discussion of the Immigration & Asylum Bill, triggering of the Clacton by-election, reflections on the murder of Anne Widdecombe and exasperation with the haphazard conduct of the US-Iran War…
One word kept recurring this week: capability. Andy Burnham promised a Government with a worked-through plan. Nigel Farage attempted an extraordinary tactical reset through a by-election. Donald Trump alternated between negotiations and military escalation in the Gulf. Different countries, different politicians, but all confronted the same question: Can they actually do what they say they…
O tempora, o mores! Politics can change mood remarkably quickly. Only a fortnight ago Westminster revolved around Sir Keir Starmer’s increasingly fragile premiership. Today the conversation is dominated by Andy Burnham’s promise to govern differently, decentralise power and establish a “No. 10 of the North”. The atmosphere has undoubtedly changed; whether Britain’s underlying problems have…
The House has already moved on – reflecting the mood in the country quite accurately. Sir Keir is done, the Member for Makerfield is most notable by his absence and his avoidance of questions. The House thunders on, but now, at a time where there are real and significant problems, the Commons feels that is…
TWOP was ready with a battery of analysts to cost spending commitments, accountants ready to estimate tax effects and a “scoop” of commentators. No need. We might as well have watched the cricket. The speech can be summarised surprisingly succinctly. A Burnham Government would: Those who really do like the detail may like to check…
plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose The political week started a lifetime ago with the appearance of “The Podium” in Downing Street on Monday morning as Sir Keir admitted what had become clear to just about everyone else, that the alea had been quite definitively iacta’d. Starmer Exit Chronology Monday 22nd June 10:30am:…
To say that there has been a sea-change in the environment in the Chamber is something of an understatement. The Labour benches are taken up with self-positioning for preferment under the Member for Makerfield’s likely new Ministry, while the Tories are obviously saving their most explosive ammunition for the time when the King of the…
Well, we look to be running about 30minutes ahead of TWOP’s predicted schedule.Another prediction: the PM will announce some sort of election process rather than a simple handover to the King of the North. There always has to be “a process.” No decisions, just processes and that has been Sir Keir’s most significant political problem.…
“Everything is Just Fine” said absolutely no-one Despite the imminent arrival of the King of the North, the tendency for politicians of all stripes to insist on their easily disproved “successes” simply increases the palpable sense of disgust with the entire political class the world over. One imagines precipitately dropping approval ratings for King Andy…
In the course of campaigning for Makersfield Burnham announced that if he displaces Starmer to become PM he would remain bound by Labour’s 2024 manifesto, but his “Manchesterism” has featured a stronger inclination to state intervention than the Starmer-Reeves positioning. Burnham’s platform relies on Manchester’s relative success under his mayoralty (2017-’26.) Supporters argue that the…
A heatwave, a war in the Gulf driven by bluff and braggadocio and a war in Ukraine seeing the slip of the Russian mask. A local TWOP correspondent visiting Kew Gardens reported temperatures of 35C (95F.) The country was awash in a public conversation about climate change. Welcome to our future. This week was also…
There have been a number of developments that should have been positive for the Government this week: – immigration numbers fell sharply (thanks Rishi)– inflation fell faster than expected (but it will be back up next month)– the IMF upgraded UK growth forecasts (if only by 0.2%)– fuel duty rises were postponed (a U-Turn, if…
Parliament returned to work with the ceremonial portrayal of calm and order of the State Opening and the King’s Speech floating, surreally, on top of the turbulent threat to Sir Keir Starmer’s premiership. An (over-)ambitious legislative programme then commenced the traditional five days of debate against a backdrop that provided further copious evidence of Sir…
There has, technically, been some political news outside the accelerating collapse of Labour authority. Whether anyone noticed is another matter. Ebola, Ukraine, Iran and strategic distractions A fresh Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo briefly reintroduced the possibility of an international public health emergency (James Gallagher, BBC News, 17th May 2026, “How worrying…
Waiting for imaginary negotiations abroad, preparing for inflation at home and governing in the shadow of events with no clear purpose. Welcome to Britain 2026. The Israel–US confrontation with Iran continues to set the UK political tempo. Domestic policy development not stop, but it does now feel provisional, as though HMG is waiting to see…
Wait for it! Another week dominated by Iran, but not entirely determined by it. Westminster continues to move in its familiar pattern: modest domestic announcements, internal Labour positioning and foreign policy events imposing themselves faster than ministers can respond. British politics appears to be holding its breath. Diego Garcia and the geography of risk The…